Future-Oriented Statement of Operations (Unaudited) for the year ended March 31, 2027

Table of contents

Future-Oriented Statement of Operations (Unaudited)

For the year ended March 31 (in thousands of dollars)
Forecast Results 2025-26 Planned Results 2026-27
Expenses
Crown-Indigenous Relations 16,293,589 12,475,427
Northern Affairs 1,335,306 690,836
Internal Services 214,570 209,519
Expenses incurred on behalf of Government (6,078) (6,701)
Total expenses 17,837,387 13,369,081
Revenues
Services to Other Government Departments 21,397 22,610
Resource royalties 2,814 2,814
Leases and rentals 2,047 2,185
Interest on loans 4 4
Miscellaneous 6,923 6,398
Revenues earned on behalf of Government (11,763) (11,372)
Total revenues 21,422 22,639
Net cost of operations before government funding and transfers 17,815,965 13,346,442
The accompanying notes form an integral part of the Future-Oriented Statement of Operations.

Notes to the Future-Oriented Statement of Operations (Unaudited)

1. Methodology and significant assumptions

The Future-Oriented Statement of Operations has been prepared on the basis of government priorities and departmental plans as described in the Departmental Plan.

The information in the forecast results for fiscal year 2025-26 is based on actual results as at November 30, 2025 and on forecasts for the remainder of the fiscal year. Forecasts have been made for the planned results for fiscal year 2026-27.

The main assumptions underlying the forecasts are as follows:

  • The department's activities will remain substantially the same as in the previous year.
  • Expenses and revenues, including the determination of amounts internal and external to the government, are based on past experience. The general historical pattern is expected to continue.

These assumptions are made as at November 30, 2025.

2. Variations and changes to the forecasted financial information

Although every attempt has been made to forecast final results for the remainder of 2025-26 and for 2026-27, actual results achieved for both years are likely to differ from the forecast information presented, and this variation could be material.

In preparing this Future-Oriented Statement of Operations, Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada (CIRNAC) has made estimates and assumptions about the future. These estimates and assumptions may differ from the subsequent actual results. Estimates and assumptions are based on past experience and other factors, including expectations of future events that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances, and are continually evaluated.

Factors that could lead to material differences between the Future‑Oriented Statement of Operations and the historical statement of operations include:

  • the timing and progress of negotiation and settlement of claims;
  • assessments of remediation costs for contaminated sites in the North, as well as actual interest and inflation rates used to determine the net present value of the environmental liability;
  • Government decisions and enabling legislation leading to additional transfer payments;
  • other changes to the operating budget, such as new initiatives or technical adjustments later in the fiscal year.
  • revenues may fluctuate based the Department's evolving shared services model.

After the Departmental Plan is tabled in Parliament, CIRNAC will not be updating the forecasts for any changes in financial resources made in ensuing supplementary estimates. Variances will be explained in the Departmental Results Report.

3. Summary of significant accounting policies

The Future-Oriented Statement of Operations has been prepared using the Government of Canada's accounting policies in effect for fiscal year 2025-26, and is based on Canadian public sector accounting standards. The presentation and results using the stated accounting policies do not result in any significant differences from Canadian public sector accounting standards.

Significant accounting policies are as follows:

a) Expenses

Transfer payments are recorded as an expense in the year the transfer is authorized and all eligibility criteria have been met by the recipient.

Other expenses are generally recorded when goods are received or services are rendered and include expenses related to personnel, professional and special services, repair and maintenance, utilities, materials and supplies, as well as amortization of tangible capital assets. Provisions to reflect changes in the value of assets or liabilities, such as provisions for contingent liabilities, environmental liabilities, bad debts, loans and advances, as well as prepaid expenses are also included in other expenses.

b) Revenues

Revenues from regulatory fees are recognized based on the services provided in the fiscal year.

Funds received from external parties for specified purposes are recorded upon receipt as deferred revenue. These revenues are recognized in the period in which the related expenses are incurred.

Other revenues are recognized in the period the event giving rise to the revenues occurred, including revenues from services provided to other government departments that are respendable by the department.

Revenues that are non-respendable are not available to discharge the department's liabilities. Although the deputy head is expected to maintain accounting control, he or she has no authority over the disposition of non-respendable revenues. As a result, non‑respendable revenues are considered to be earned on behalf of the Government of Canada and are therefore presented as a reduction of the department's gross revenues.

4. Parliamentary authorities

The department is financed by the Government of Canada through parliamentary authorities. Financial reporting of authorities provided to the department differs from financial reporting according to generally accepted accounting principles because authorities are based mainly on cash flow requirements. Items recognized in the Future-Oriented Statement of Operations in one year may be funded through parliamentary authorities in prior, current or future years. Accordingly, the department has different net cost of operations for the year on a government funding basis than on an accrual accounting basis. The differences are reconciled in the following tables:

a) Reconciliation of net cost of operations to requested authorities (in thousands of dollars)

Forecast Results for 2025-26 Planned Results for 2026-27
Net cost of operations before government funding and transfers 17,815,965 13,346,442
Adjustments for items affecting net cost of operations but not affecting authorities:
Amortization of tangible capital assets (487) (491)
Decrease (increase) in provision for claims and litigation (16,365,840) (13,791,308)
Decrease (increase) in environmental liabilities (692,115) (218,681)
Services provided without charge by other government departments (32,606) (31,892)
Decrease (increase) in vacation pay and compensatory leave (51,185) (50,103)
Decrease (increase) in employee future benefits 190 (82)
Bad debt expense 5,374 6,027
Acquisition (transfer) of land held for future claim settlements (240) 0
Gain (loss) on disposal of tangible capital assets 26 29
Decrease (increase) in other accruals 2,414 2,114
Refunds/adjustments of previous years' expenditures 4,611 4,573
Total items affecting net cost of operations but not affecting authorities (17,129,858) (14,079,814)
Adjustments for items not affecting net cost of operations but affecting authorities:
Expenditures related to claims and litigation 6,767,161 11,853,776
Expenditures reducing environmental liabilities 651,739 748,011
Expenditures related to settled claims 4,126 0
Acquisition of tangible capital assets 755 225
Total items not affecting net cost of operations but affecting authorities 7,423,781 12,602,012
Requested authorities forecasted to be used 8,109,888 11,868,640

b) Authorities requested (in thousands of dollars)

Forecast Results 2025-26 Planned Results 2026-27
Authorities provided/requested
Vote 1: Operating expenditures 3,411,077 4,096,432
Vote 5: Capital expenditures 755 225
Vote 10: Grants and Contributions 7,209,450 7,738,323
Statutory amounts 37,123 33,660
Total authorities requested 10,658,405 11,868,640
Less: Estimated unused authorities and other adjustments 2,548,517 0
Requested authorities forecasted to be used 8,109,888 11,868,640

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